Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming Indian Super League game, scheduled for Saturday, May 2, 2026 between SC Delhi and Punjab FC.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| SC Delhi | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Draw (SC Delhi vs. Punjab FC) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Punjab FC | 0% YES | 100% NO |
SC Delhi and Punjab FC will contest a fixture in the Indian Super League on Saturday, 2 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 0% implied probability for a Delhi victory, indicating that traders are pricing this match as either heavily favourable to Punjab or treating the outcome as highly uncertain given sparse liquidity. The settlement window closes at 14:00 UTC on match day, allowing traders roughly until kickoff to adjust positions based on late team news.
The Indian Super League has shown considerable volatility in recent seasons, with home advantage and squad depth varying substantially between franchises. Delhi's historical performance against Punjab provides context: both clubs have experienced roster turnover and managerial changes that reshape competitive balance year to year. A 0% probability for Delhi suggests either Punjab enters as clear favourites or the market has insufficient depth to establish a meaningful price. Comparable fixtures in the ISL typically settle with winning probabilities between 35–65% depending on form, injuries and venue.
Traders should monitor squad announcements and injury updates in the week preceding the match, particularly regarding key players for both sides. Recent ISL seasons have seen fixture congestion affecting team selection and fatigue levels. Weather conditions in Delhi during early May—heat and potential air quality issues—may influence playing style and stamina. Any late managerial statements or official team sheets released before kickoff will likely trigger repricing on the order book.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.indiansuperleague.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "SC Delhi vs. Punjab FC" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$275 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for around a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.indiansuperleague.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 2 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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