Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the Ligue 2 game, scheduled for May 2 at 2:00 PM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| USL Dunkerque (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Grenoble Foot 38 (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| USL Dunkerque (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Grenoble Foot 38 (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
USL Dunkerque and Grenoble Foot 38 are scheduled to meet in a Ligue 2 fixture on 2 May 2026 at 14:00 ET. The current order book on Polymarket shows a 0% implied probability for the "More Markets" outcome, indicating either minimal liquidity in this specific contract or that traders are pricing it as an extremely unlikely event relative to other available markets for this match. With settlement occurring after the final whistle on 2 May, this market captures a discrete outcome tied directly to the match result and any associated secondary betting opportunities.
Ligue 2 matches between mid-table and lower-ranked sides typically generate modest trading volumes on prediction markets unless one club is in promotion contention or facing relegation. Dunkerque and Grenoble's historical performance and league position as of early 2026 will determine whether this fixture attracts significant attention. Previous seasons show that markets for French second-division matches often remain thin until 48 hours before kickoff, when injury news and team news crystallise trader positioning.
Key catalysts include official team sheets released 24 hours pre-match, any late injury announcements affecting key players, and confirmation of final league standings if either side is mathematically close to promotion or relegation zones. Traders should monitor official Ligue 2 communications and club statements for squad changes. The 0% current reading likely reflects low initial order book depth rather than certainty; liquidity typically concentrates closer to the settlement window.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.ligue2.fr/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "USL Dunkerque vs. Grenoble Foot 38 - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$7K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.ligue2.fr/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 2 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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