Sports

Trade: Netherlands vs. Sweden - Exact Score

Opened · Settles

Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Netherlands and Sweden, scheduled for June 20, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Netherlands vs. Sweden match originally scheduled for June 20, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the…

PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.

Liquidity
$2K
Total Volume
$17
24h Volume
—
Open Interest
$17
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Market outcomes

Exact Score: 0-1 8% YES93% NO
Exact Score: 0-2 6% YES94% NO
Exact Score: 2-0 12% YES88% NO
Exact Score: 1-2 7% YES93% NO
Exact Score: 3-0 7% YES94% NO
Exact Score: 2-2 6% YES94% NO
Exact Score: 2-3 4% YES96% NO
Exact Score: 3-3 4% YES96% NO

Market context

The Netherlands and Sweden will meet in a FIFA World Cup group-stage fixture on 20 June 2026, with the match scheduled for 13:00 ET. This exact-score market settles on the final result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The current order book on Polymarket implies an 8% probability for a specific scoreline, reflecting the difficulty of predicting precise match outcomes in competitive international football.

Exact-score markets in football typically show low probabilities for any single result because outcomes distribute across numerous possibilities. Historical World Cup group-stage matches between these nations provide limited direct comparison—the teams last met in 2016 (friendly, 1–1) and 2012 (Euro qualifier, 2–0 to Netherlands). Broader patterns suggest that in competitive matches between sides of comparable strength, scorelines of 1–0, 1–1, and 2–1 account for roughly 40–50% of all outcomes combined, whilst any individual scoreline rarely exceeds 15% probability.

Traders should monitor squad announcements and injury updates as the tournament approaches, particularly regarding key attacking and defensive personnel for both nations. The fixture's position within the group stage—potentially a decisive match depending on earlier results—could influence tactical approach and goal-scoring likelihood. Recent UEFA Nations League performances and qualifying-round scoring patterns will provide updated context on attacking efficiency and defensive solidity for both teams entering the tournament.

Wikipedia Context

  • Netherlands–Sweden relations
    Netherlands–Sweden relations

    Sweden and the Netherlands maintain bilateral relations. The original Dutch Republic and the Kingdom of Sweden have been both allied and on opposing sides in war. Both countries are full members of the Council of Europe, Joint Expeditionary Force, NATO and the European Union. The Netherlands have an embassy in Stockholm, while Sweden has an embassy in The Ha

  • Boll case
    Boll case

    Netherlands v Sweden ,1958 ICJ 8, was heard before the International Court of Justice in 1958. It remains the only case in which a Convention drafted by the Hague Conference on Private International Law was the principal subject of interpretation by a court with worldwide jurisdiction.

Resolution source

This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.

How to trade this market step by step

The mechanics for trading "Netherlands vs. Sweden - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.

  1. Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
  2. Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
  3. Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
  4. Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
  5. Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
  6. Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.

How active is this market?

$17 in lifetime turnover and $2K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.

The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.

Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.

Key terms

YES / NO share
A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
CLOB
Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
Liquidity
USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
UMA optimistic oracle
The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
Slippage
The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
Conditional token
ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.

See the full prediction-market glossary →

Frequently asked questions

How does this market resolve?

Resolution is sourced from https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.

When does this market close?

This prediction market is scheduled to close on 20 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.

How can I trade on "Netherlands vs. Sweden - Exact Score"?

To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.

What happens when the market resolves?

When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.

Risk and regulatory note

Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.

Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.

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