Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for June 8 at 2:45 PM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Netherlands (-1.5) | 41% YES | 59% NO |
| Uzbekistan (-1.5) | 41% YES | 60% NO |
| Netherlands (-2.5) | 38% YES | 62% NO |
| Uzbekistan (-2.5) | 38% YES | 62% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 63% YES | 38% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 53% YES | 47% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 52% YES | 48% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 48% YES | 52% NO |
The Netherlands and Uzbekistan are scheduled to meet in a FIFA International Friendly on 8 June 2026 at 2:45 PM ET. This market is pricing the likelihood that additional betting markets will be offered for this fixture on Polymarket before the settlement window closes. The current order book reflects a 41% implied probability, suggesting traders believe there is a meaningful but not dominant chance that supplementary markets—such as exact score, player performance, or in-play betting options—will be listed.
International friendlies typically generate secondary market demand proportional to the profile of the teams involved and the proximity to major tournaments. The Netherlands has historically been a draw for prediction market activity given its consistent presence in competitive fixtures, whilst Uzbekistan's participation in friendlies has seen variable coverage. The timing of this match in June 2026 places it in a congested international calendar window, which can either accelerate or delay market expansion decisions depending on competing fixtures and platform capacity.
Traders monitoring this market should track Polymarket's official announcements regarding fixture coverage and any scheduling changes to the match itself. The settlement window extends to 8 June at 18:45 UTC, providing a narrow window for market creation decisions. Broader platform activity around other international friendlies in the same period will serve as a leading indicator: high demand for secondary markets on comparable fixtures would increase the probability of expansion for this match, whilst platform resource constraints or low engagement elsewhere could suppress it.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.fifa.com. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $1K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.fifa.com. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 8 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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