Trade: Real Racing Club vs. Real Valladolid CF - More Markets
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the La Liga 2 game, scheduled for May 16 at 12:30 PM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $14K
- Total Volume
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- 24h Volume
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- Open Interest
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Market outcomes
| Real Racing Club (-2.5) | 19% YES | 82% NO |
| Real Valladolid CF (-2.5) | 12% YES | 88% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 67% YES | 33% NO |
| Real Racing Club (-1.5) | 39% YES | 62% NO |
| Real Valladolid CF (-1.5) | 18% YES | 83% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 82% YES | 18% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 61% YES | 39% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 40% YES | 60% NO |
Market context
Real Racing Club will face Real Valladolid CF in a La Liga 2 fixture on 16 May 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 12:30 PM ET. The match carries significance for both clubs' promotion and playoff positioning in Spain's second tier. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 21% implied probability for the "More Markets" outcome, suggesting traders are pricing in a relatively low likelihood of additional betting markets materialising around this fixture.
La Liga 2 matches typically generate supplementary markets when clubs involved carry substantial supporter bases or when the fixture holds playoff implications. Historical precedent shows that promotion-chasing clubs in Spain's second division attract expanded market offerings, particularly in the final weeks of the season. The probability formation visible today reflects uncertainty about whether Racing and Valladolid will warrant the liquidity investment required for extended market coverage, compared to higher-profile La Liga 1 encounters or matches with clearer playoff stakes.
Traders should monitor official La Liga 2 announcements regarding final standings and playoff scenarios as the settlement window approaches. Fixture confirmation and any late changes to scheduling could influence whether sportsbooks and market makers expand offerings. Additionally, team news regarding injuries or suspensions may affect perceived match significance. The 16 May date falls within the critical final matchday window, when promotion and relegation outcomes crystallise, potentially triggering broader market interest than currently priced into the order book.
Wikipedia Context
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Real Racing 3Real Racing 3 is a 2013 racing game developed by Firemonkeys Studios and Slingshot Studios and published by Electronic Arts for iOS, Android, Nvidia Shield and BlackBerry 10 devices. It was released on iOS and Android on February 28, 2013, under the freemium business model; it was free to download, with enhancements available through in-app purchases.
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Real Racing 2Real Racing 2 is a 2010 racing game developed and published by Firemint for iOS, Android, OS X Lion, and Windows Phone 8. It was released on December 16, 2010 for iPhone and iPod Touch, powered by Firemint's own Mint3D engine. A separate iPad version was released on March 11, 2011. On January 11, 2012 Real Racing 2 was confirmed as one of twenty-seven titles
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Real Racing (video game)Real Racing is a 2009 racing game developed and published by Firemint for iOS. It was released on June 8, 2009 for iPhone and iPod Touch, and later a HD version was released for the iPad, which featured improved graphics to take full advantage of the iPad's capabilities. The game was a critical and commercial success, and has led to two sequels; Real Racing
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Real Racing (racing team)Real Co., Ltd., better known as Real Racing, is a Japanese company headed by former racing driver Katsutomo Kaneishi.
Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.laliga.com/en-GB/laliga-hypermotion. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "Real Racing Club vs. Real Valladolid CF - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$0 in lifetime turnover and $14K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from https://www.laliga.com/en-GB/laliga-hypermotion. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 16 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "Real Racing Club vs. Real Valladolid CF - More Markets"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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