Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming La Liga 2 game, scheduled for Friday, May 15, 2026 between Córdoba CF and Albacete Balompié.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Córdoba CF | 60% YES | 41% NO |
| Draw (Córdoba CF vs. Albacete Balompié) | 23% YES | 78% NO |
| Albacete Balompié | 18% YES | 83% NO |
Córdoba CF will face Albacete Balompié in a La Liga 2 fixture on Friday, 15 May 2026, with settlement determined by the match result at the close of play. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 56% implied probability for the YES outcome, suggesting traders view this as a marginally favourable proposition for one of the sides, though the exact framing of the YES condition—whether it represents a home win, away win, or draw—determines how to interpret this probability against historical matchup data and league standings.
La Liga 2 encounters between these clubs carry context from their respective seasons and recent form trajectories. Córdoba CF and Albacete Balompié have competed at varying levels of Spanish football, with their relative strength in the 2025–26 campaign shaping expectations. Historical head-to-head records and home advantage factors typically influence pricing; teams playing at home in La Liga 2 have historically won roughly 45–50% of matches, with draws accounting for a substantial portion of outcomes. The 56% probability on the order book suggests the market is pricing in either a clear favourite or moderately balanced odds with a slight lean.
Traders should monitor team news in the final weeks before 15 May, including injury reports, managerial changes, or unexpected fixture congestion that could affect squad availability. Announcements regarding player suspensions or last-minute tactical shifts from either club can shift the order book materially. Final league standings and playoff implications, if applicable, may also influence team motivation and tactical approach on the day.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.laliga.com/en-GB/laliga-hypermotion. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Córdoba CF vs. Albacete Balompié" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $615K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.laliga.com/en-GB/laliga-hypermotion. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 15 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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