Trade: Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC - Exact Score
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Premier League game between Newcastle United FC and West Ham United FC, scheduled for May 17, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC match originally scheduled for May 17, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $53K
- Total Volume
- $119
- 24h Volume
- —
- Open Interest
- $10
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 10% YES | 91% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-2 | 6% YES | 95% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-1 | 8% YES | 92% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 5% YES | 95% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 5% YES | 95% NO |
| Exact Score: 3-2 | 5% YES | 95% NO |
| Exact Score: 3-3 | 2% YES | 98% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 5% YES | 95% NO |
Market context
Newcastle United and West Ham United will meet in a Premier League fixture on 17 May 2026, with the market settling on the exact final score at 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 10% implied probability for the YES outcome, indicating traders assess a specific scoreline as relatively unlikely given the range of possible results in a typical Premier League match. With dozens of potential exact scores, concentration of probability mass on any single outcome naturally remains modest.
Historical precedent suggests exact-score markets in Premier League fixtures typically see winning probabilities between 8–15% for individual outcomes, depending on team quality and match context. Newcastle and West Ham occupy mid-to-upper-table positions in recent seasons, suggesting matches between them produce moderate scoring patterns rather than extreme results. The 10% figure aligns with baseline expectations for a plausible but non-dominant scoreline in such a fixture.
Traders should monitor team news through May 2026, including injury announcements and squad rotation patterns as the season concludes. Fixture congestion, European competition involvement, and final-day league positioning could influence tactical approach and goal output. Weather conditions on match day and any late managerial changes may also shift expected scoring dynamics. The settlement window closes at 16:30 GMT on 17 May, allowing only the standard 90-minute result plus injury time to count towards resolution.
Wikipedia Context
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Newcastle United F.C. Under-21s and AcademyNewcastle United F.C. Under-21s and Academy are the reserve and academy teams for the Premier League club Newcastle United.
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Newcastle Jets FCNewcastle United Jets Football Club, commonly known as Newcastle Jets, is an Australian professional soccer club based in Newcastle, New South Wales. It competes in the country's premier competition, the A-League, under licence from the Australian Professional Leagues (APL). The club was formed in 2000 when it joined the National Soccer League (NSL) and was
Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.premierleague.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$119 in lifetime turnover and $53K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is strong — order books support five-figure trades with single-cent slippage.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from https://www.premierleague.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 17 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC - Exact Score"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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