Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming League One game, scheduled for Saturday, May 2, 2026 between Stevenage FC and Wigan Athletic FC.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Stevenage FC | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Draw (Stevenage FC vs. Wigan Athletic FC) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Wigan Athletic FC | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Stevenage FC will host Wigan Athletic FC in a League One fixture on Saturday, 2 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability, indicating that traders are pricing this match as certain to occur as scheduled. This extreme probability typically emerges when settlement criteria are straightforward and no material uncertainty exists about the event's occurrence within the specified window.
League One fixtures rarely fail to materialise once scheduled, barring exceptional circumstances such as severe weather, facility damage, or mass player unavailability due to injury or illness. Historical precedent shows that matches between established EFL clubs proceed as planned in the vast majority of cases. The 100% reading here reflects confidence in basic operational execution rather than a prediction about the match outcome; settlement hinges solely on whether the game takes place by the deadline, not on any sporting result.
Traders monitoring this market should track squad news from both clubs in the weeks preceding the fixture, particularly any announcements regarding facility issues or widespread illness outbreaks. Fixture congestion in late April could theoretically affect team preparation, though rescheduling at this stage would be highly unusual. Weather forecasts for the Stevenage area on 2 May and any official EFL communications regarding the fixture calendar represent the primary catalysts that could alter current pricing. The settlement window closes at 14:00 GMT on match day, allowing for standard kick-off times.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.efl.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Stevenage FC vs. Wigan Athletic FC" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$1K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.efl.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 2 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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