Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Egypt Egyptian Premier League game between Tala'ea El Gaish SC and Pharco FC, scheduled for May 18, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Tala'ea El Gaish SC | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Draw | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Pharco FC | 49% YES | 51% NO |
Tala'ea El Gaish SC will host Pharco FC in an Egyptian Premier League fixture on 18 May 2026, with settlement determined by the halftime scoreline after 45 minutes plus stoppage time. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 49% implied probability for a Tala'ea El Gaish halftime victory, suggesting near-parity between a home win and the combined probability of a draw or away result.
Egyptian Premier League halftime markets typically exhibit volatility driven by team form and home-ground advantage patterns. Tala'ea El Gaish, a military-affiliated club with a strong domestic record, has historically leveraged home fixtures effectively in early-season and mid-season phases. Comparable halftime markets in the Egyptian top flight show that home sides achieve halftime leads in roughly 45–55% of matches depending on opponent quality and tactical setup. Pharco FC's away record and recent defensive stability will materially influence whether the current 49% probability shifts materially before settlement.
Traders should monitor team news releases and official league communications through to the 14:00 UTC settlement window on 18 May. Key variables include confirmed lineups, any late injuries to key attacking or defensive personnel, and weather conditions in Cairo on match day. Pharco's recent form against comparable opposition and Tala'ea El Gaish's injury status in midfield will shape early-match tempo and pressing intensity, both critical to halftime outcome probability. The settlement window closes approximately four hours after kick-off, allowing traders to react to first-half developments.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.efa.com.eg/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Pharco FC - Halftime Result" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $72 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.efa.com.eg/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 18 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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