Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Denmark Superliga game between Randers FC and Odense BK, scheduled for May 11, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Randers FC | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Draw | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odense BK | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Randers FC will host Odense BK in a Denmark Superliga fixture on 11 May 2026, with the halftime result market settling on outcomes during the opening 45 minutes plus stoppage time. The current order book on Polymarket prices a Randers halftime win at 35% implied probability, reflecting modest backing for the home side to lead at the interval.
Randers and Odense have established contrasting patterns in recent seasons. Randers typically compete in the upper-mid table and have shown variable first-half performance, whilst Odense have demonstrated stronger defensive discipline early in matches. Historical halftime data across comparable Superliga fixtures suggests home sides achieve halftime leads roughly 40–45% of the time against mid-table opposition, making the current 35% pricing slightly conservative relative to positional averages. The draw at halftime has historically occurred in approximately 25–30% of such encounters.
Traders should monitor team news and squad availability in the fortnight preceding the fixture, as injuries to key attacking or defensive personnel can materially shift halftime scoring patterns. Weather conditions on match day—particularly wind and rain typical of Danish spring fixtures—may suppress early-game attacking intent. Odense's recent form and any managerial tactical adjustments announced closer to the date warrant attention, as these often influence whether sides press aggressively or adopt conservative approaches in opening periods. The settlement window closes at 17:00 UTC on match day, allowing real-time adjustment as lineups are confirmed.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://superligaen.dk/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Randers FC vs. Odense BK - Halftime Result" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$433 in lifetime turnover and $26K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
Last 24 hours alone saw $433 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://superligaen.dk/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 11 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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