Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the Czechia Fortuna Liga game, scheduled for May 2 at 9:00 AM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| MFK Karviná (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| FK Pardubice (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| MFK Karviná (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| FK Pardubice (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
MFK Karviná and FK Pardubice will meet in the Czechia Fortuna Liga on 2 May at 9:00 AM ET, with settlement closing at 13:00 UTC that same day. The 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects minimal liquidity or positioning in this particular market cluster at present; such extreme readings typically indicate either sparse trading activity or a structural mismatch between what traders expect and what the market is pricing. The settlement window is tight—just four hours after kickoff—which constrains the window for post-match order flow and may suppress overall participation.
Historical context for Czech Fortuna Liga fixtures shows that mid-table and lower-division matchups often attract fragmented liquidity across derivative markets. Karviná and Pardubice occupy mid-to-lower standings in the league hierarchy; neither club commands the betting volume of Prague-based rivals. When comparable fixtures settle, order books frequently remain thin until match day itself, with most price discovery occurring in the final hours before kickoff. The 0% reading here is consistent with pre-match dormancy rather than a definitive market consensus.
Traders should monitor team news and injury reports released in the 48 hours before the fixture, as late roster changes can shift expectations sharply. Fixture congestion in the Fortuna Liga's final weeks may also affect squad rotation decisions. Any official postponement announcements would immediately trigger settlement protocols, though no such developments have been reported as of late April 2026.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.fortunaliga.cz/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "MFK Karviná vs. FK Pardubice - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$5K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.fortunaliga.cz/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 2 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: