Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to which team hits the greater number of sixes in the cricket match between Pakistan and Zimbabwe scheduled for 2026-05-12 in T20 Series Pakistan vs Zimbabwe, Women. This market resolves according to the finalized match statistics as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Pakistan will be considered correct if Pakistan is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than Zimbabwe.The outcome corresponding to Zimbabwe will be considered correct if Zimbabwe is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than Pakistan. If both teams record the same number of sixes, the market will resolve to "Draw".
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| PAK | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| ZWE | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Draw | 49% YES | 51% NO |
Pakistan and Zimbabwe's women's T20 sides will contest a match on 12 May 2026, with this market determining which team strikes more sixes. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 49% implied probability for Pakistan, suggesting near-parity in expectations between the two outcomes. This equilibrium pricing indicates substantial uncertainty amongst traders regarding the relative batting aggression and bowling vulnerabilities each side will display.
Women's T20 cricket has seen increasing six-hitting rates over recent years, though Pakistan and Zimbabwe occupy different competitive tiers. Pakistan's women's team ranks considerably higher in ICC standings and has demonstrated greater consistency in T20 formats, typically batting deeper and with more explosive middle-order options. Zimbabwe's women's programme, whilst improving, has historically struggled against stronger opponents. However, T20 cricket's inherent volatility—where pitch conditions, toss outcomes, and individual match-ups can dramatically shift aggression patterns—means historical win rates provide limited predictive value for six-count differentials.
Traders should monitor team announcements regarding squad composition and recent form in the weeks preceding the match. Pitch reports from the venue in Pakistan will prove material, as slower, shorter boundaries favour increased six-hitting. Weather conditions on match day, particularly wind direction, affect ball carry distances. Recent performances by key batters in domestic T20 competitions will signal current form. The settlement window closes on 19 May 2026, providing a five-day buffer after the match for official ESPN Cricinfo statistics to be finalised and any potential disputes resolved.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.espncricinfo.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "T20 Series Pakistan vs Zimbabwe, Women: Pakistan vs Zimbabwe - Most Sixes" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $3 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.espncricinfo.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 19 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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