Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to which team's player records the highest individual run total in the cricket match between United Arab Emirates and Oman scheduled for 2026-05-02 in ICC Cricket World Cup League Two. This market resolves according to the finalized match statistics as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to United Arab Emirates will be considered correct if the highest individual score in the match is recorded exclusively by a player from United Arab Emirates. The outcome corresponding to Oman will be considered correct if the highest individual score is recorded exclusively by a player from Oman.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Draw | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| ARE | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| OMN | 100% YES | 0% NO |
The ICC Cricket World Cup League Two match between United Arab Emirates and Oman on 2 May 2026 will determine which team produces the tournament's highest individual batter in that fixture. The market currently shows 0% implied probability for either outcome on Polymarket's order book, indicating insufficient liquidity or pricing uncertainty rather than genuine equiprobability. Settlement depends on finalised statistics from ESPNcricinfo, with the window closing on 10 May 2026.
Historical performance data from League Two fixtures suggests UAE typically fields stronger batting lineups, with established domestic players like Waseem Muhammad and Vriitya Aravind regularly posting half-centuries in ODI-format competition. Oman's batting depth remains comparatively limited, though occasional individual performances have reached the 40-50 run range. The 0% probability across both outcomes reflects the market's current illiquidity rather than predictive consensus—such extreme readings often precede significant repricing once initial orders establish reference prices.
Traders should monitor team announcements regarding squad composition and recent form data from preceding League Two matches. Pitch conditions at the scheduled venue and toss outcomes will materially affect batting performance ceilings. Weather forecasts closer to the match date may influence team selection strategies, particularly regarding opening batters and middle-order composition. Early betting activity from regional cricket markets often provides leading indicators for individual performance thresholds in League Two fixtures.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.espncricinfo.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: United Arab Emirates vs Oman - Team Top Batter" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$2K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.espncricinfo.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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