Sports

Trade: T20 Blast: Warwickshire vs Somerset - Most Sixes

Opened 23 May 2026 · Settles 31 May 2026

Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to which team hits the greater number of sixes in the cricket match between Warwickshire and Somerset scheduled for 2026-05-24 in T20 Blast. This market resolves according to the finalized match statistics as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Warwickshire will be considered correct if Warwickshire is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than Somerset.The outcome corresponding to Somerset will be considered correct if Somerset is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than Warwickshire. If both teams record the same number of sixes, the market will resolve to "Draw".

PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.

Liquidity: $0
Total Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Open Interest: —

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Market outcomes

WAR	100% YES	0% NO
Draw	0% YES	100% NO
SOM	0% YES	100% NO

Market context

Warwickshire and Somerset will contest a T20 Blast fixture on 24 May 2026, with this market determining which side strikes more sixes. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for YES, indicating traders are pricing near-certainty that Warwickshire will out-hit Somerset in boundary maximisation. This extreme pricing typically emerges when one side holds substantial structural advantages or when liquidity remains shallow enough that early positions anchor expectations.

T20 Blast aggregate data from recent seasons shows considerable variance in six-hitting patterns between county sides, with outcomes heavily dependent on ground dimensions, pitch conditions, and squad composition on the day. Warwickshire's recent campaigns have featured aggressive middle-order batting, whilst Somerset's approach has varied based on available personnel. Historical head-to-head encounters in this format show no decisive trend favouring either side's six-hitting propensity, suggesting the 100% pricing may reflect incomplete information or limited market participation rather than overwhelming historical precedent.

Key variables for traders include squad announcements closer to the fixture date—injuries or unavailable players can materially shift batting aggression profiles—and ground conditions at Edgbaston or Taunton, which influence boundary distances and ball carry. Weather forecasts in late May will affect pitch behaviour and outfield conditions. The settlement window closes 31 May 2026, allowing time for official ESPN Cricinfo statistics publication. Early-stage pricing at this extreme warrants scrutiny against actual squad news and venue-specific factors that typically emerge in the fortnight preceding county cricket fixtures.

Wikipedia Context

T20 Blast
The T20 Blast, also known as the Vitality Blast for sponsorship reasons, is a professional Twenty20 cricket league in England and Wales. The competition was established by the England and Wales Cricket Board (ECB) in 2003 and comprises 18 teams, with 17 in England and 1 in Wales. The competition has been known by a variety of names due to commercial sponsors
Women's T20 Blast
The T20 Blast Women, officially known as the Vitality Blast Women for sponsorship reasons, is a professional women's Twenty20 county cricket competition in England and Wales, run by the England and Wales Cricket Board (ECB). Launched in 2025, it serves as the successor to the Charlotte Edwards Cup.
The Blasters
The Blasters are an American rock band formed in 1979 in Downey, California, by brothers Phil Alvin and Dave Alvin (guitar), with bass guitarist John Bazz and drummer Bill Bateman. Their self-described "American Music" is a blend of rockabilly, early rock and roll, punk rock, mountain music, and rhythm and blues and country.
The Blasting Room
The Blasting Room is a recording studio in Fort Collins, Colorado. Founded by members of the punk rock band All in 1994, it is owned and operated by musician Bill Stevenson and Jason Livermore. The studio is known for recording and producing many punk rock bands, with Stevenson and Livermore serving as in-house audio engineers and record producers.

Resolution source

This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.espncricinfo.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.

How to trade this market step by step

The mechanics for trading "T20 Blast: Warwickshire vs Somerset - Most Sixes" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.

Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.

Key terms

YES / NO share: A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
CLOB: Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
Liquidity: USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
UMA optimistic oracle: The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
Slippage: The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
Conditional token: ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.

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Frequently asked questions

How does this market resolve?

Resolution is sourced from https://www.espncricinfo.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.

When does this market close?

This prediction market is scheduled to close on 31 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.

How can I trade on "T20 Blast: Warwickshire vs Somerset - Most Sixes"?

To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.

What happens when the market resolves?

When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.

Risk and regulatory note

Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.

Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.

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