Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the Chile Primera game, scheduled for May 3 at 5:30 PM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| CSD Colo-Colo (-1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| CD Coquimbo Unido (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| CSD Colo-Colo (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| CD Coquimbo Unido (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Colo-Colo will face CD Coquimbo Unido in the Chilean Primera División on 3 May 2026 at 17:30 ET. The market is pricing additional betting opportunities around this fixture, with the order book currently reflecting a 100% implied probability for the "yes" outcome. This settlement window closes at 21:30 ET on match day, allowing traders roughly four hours post-kick-off to position before final resolution.
The 100% probability reading warrants scrutiny against comparable Chilean Primera markets. Colo-Colo, based in Santiago, competes at a higher competitive tier than Coquimbo Unido, a regional side from the north. Historical head-to-head records and recent league standings typically favour Colo-Colo substantially, yet such extreme probabilities often reflect thin liquidity on Polymarket's order book rather than genuine certainty. Markets with minimal depth can skew toward extreme prices when early traders establish positions without meaningful counterparty activity.
Traders should monitor team news through late April and early May, including injury reports and squad rotation decisions—Colo-Colo's fixture congestion in the domestic calendar may influence lineup choices. Weather conditions in Santiago and any last-minute scheduling changes warrant attention. The Chilean football federation's official communications and local press outlets will carry relevant updates. The four-hour settlement window post-match is relatively tight, so confirmation of final scoreline and market-specific resolution criteria should be verified against the market's exact terms before the window closes.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://anfp.cl/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "CSD Colo-Colo vs. CD Coquimbo Unido - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$4K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for around a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://anfp.cl/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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