Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the Chile Primera game, scheduled for June 14 at 12:30 PM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| CD Concepción (-1.5) | 14% YES | 86% NO |
| CD Limache (-1.5) | 19% YES | 81% NO |
| CD Concepción (-2.5) | 10% YES | 90% NO |
| CD Limache (-2.5) | 14% YES | 87% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 88% YES | 13% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 75% YES | 26% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 52% YES | 49% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 28% YES | 73% NO |
CD Concepción will face CD Limache in a Primera División match on 14 June 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 12:30 PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket prices the "More Markets" outcome at 14% implied probability, reflecting trader conviction that additional betting markets for this fixture will be created before the settlement window closes on 14 June at 16:30 UTC.
The 14% probability sits notably low relative to comparable fixture coverage in the Chilean top flight. Established clubs and matches with higher media attention typically see multiple derivative markets launched—team-to-advance, goal-scorer props, and corner totals—within days of fixture confirmation. Concepción and Limache, whilst professional sides, command less consistent market infrastructure than Colo-Colo or Universidad de Chile fixtures. Historical precedent suggests mid-table matchups in the Primera División generate secondary markets inconsistently, with liquidity concentration on the primary match outcome.
Traders should monitor official Polymarket announcements and fixture confirmations from the ANFP (Asociación Nacional de Fútbol Profesional) in the coming weeks. The settlement window's tight closure—occurring just two hours after full-time—creates operational constraints for market creation. Any fixture postponement, rescheduling, or withdrawal would eliminate the underlying event entirely. Media coverage intensity and betting demand from Chilean-focused traders in the final week before 14 June will likely determine whether additional markets justify creation costs, making late-stage news flow and platform activity the key catalysts to monitor.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://anfp.cl/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "CD Concepción vs. CD Limache - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $807 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://anfp.cl/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 14 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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