Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming Chinese Super League game, scheduled for Saturday, May 9, 2026 between Shanghai Shenhua FC and Chongqing Tonglianglong FC.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Shanghai Shenhua FC | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Draw (Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Chongqing Tonglianglong FC | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Shanghai Shenhua FC will face Chongqing Tonglianglong FC in a Chinese Super League fixture on Saturday, 9 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket shows zero probability for a YES outcome, indicating traders are pricing this event with extreme certainty toward a NO resolution. This 0% implied probability reflects either a structural issue with market setup, a misalignment between the event definition and settlement criteria, or genuine consensus that the specified outcome carries negligible likelihood.
Chinese Super League matches between established clubs typically generate competitive fixtures with meaningful probability distributions across outcomes. Shanghai Shenhua, historically one of China's most prominent clubs, and Chongqing Tonglianglong represent different tiers of competitive strength. The 0% pricing on Polymarket's order book suggests either the market definition requires clarification—such as whether YES refers to a specific result, scoreline, or player performance—or traders have identified information asymmetry regarding team availability, fixture cancellation risk, or league scheduling changes.
Traders should monitor official Chinese Super League announcements regarding fixture confirmation, team squad news, and any schedule adjustments through early May 2026. Injury reports, managerial changes, or league administrative decisions could shift pricing if they materially affect perceived outcome probabilities. The settlement window closes 11:35 UTC on 9 May, providing limited reaction time post-match; clarity on the exact YES resolution criteria will be essential before meaningful liquidity emerges on the order book.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.csl-china.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$143K in lifetime turnover and $836K of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 30% by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $141K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.csl-china.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: