Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Henan FC and Zhejiang Zhiye FC, scheduled for May 30, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Henan FC | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Draw | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Zhejiang Zhiye FC | 49% YES | 51% NO |
Henan FC will face Zhejiang Zhiye FC in a Chinese Super League fixture on 30 May 2026. The halftime result market settles on the outcome of the first 45 minutes plus stoppage time, with three possible outcomes: Henan victory, draw, or Zhejiang victory. The current crowd-implied probability of 49% for the YES outcome (typically the home team result in such markets) reflects relatively balanced expectations on Polymarket's order book, suggesting traders see meaningful uncertainty in how the opening period will unfold.
Chinese Super League matches historically show halftime results that diverge considerably from full-time outcomes, particularly when teams employ tactical adjustments at the interval. Henan FC's recent form and Zhejiang Zhiye's defensive setup will be critical reference points; teams that sit deep early often produce draws or away results at halftime, whilst aggressive pressing sides tend to generate home advantages in the opening 45 minutes. The 49% probability sits near parity, indicating the market has not settled on a strong directional lean despite any underlying team quality differences.
Traders should monitor team news releases and squad availability announcements in the days before kick-off, as injuries to key attacking or defensive personnel can shift halftime dynamics substantially. Weather conditions at the venue on match day may also influence early-game tempo and passing accuracy. The 7:00 AM ET start time places the match in early morning hours for Western traders, potentially affecting liquidity patterns on the order book as the settlement window approaches on 30 May.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.csl-china.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Henan FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC - Halftime Result" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $119 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.csl-china.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 30 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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