Sports

Trade: Grêmio FBPA vs. CR Flamengo - Exact Score

Opened 8 May 2026 · Settles 10 May 2026

Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Brazil Série A game between Grêmio FBPA and CR Flamengo, scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Grêmio FBPA vs. CR Flamengo match originally scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market…

PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.

Liquidity: $0
Total Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Open Interest: —

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Market outcomes

Exact Score: 0-2	0% YES	100% NO
Exact Score: 2-0	0% YES	100% NO
Exact Score: 1-2	0% YES	100% NO
Exact Score: 3-0	0% YES	100% NO
Exact Score: 0-1	100% YES	0% NO
Exact Score: 1-0	0% YES	100% NO
Exact Score: 1-1	0% YES	100% NO
Exact Score: 0-3	0% YES	100% NO

Market context

Grêmio and Flamengo will meet in Brazil's top division on 10 May 2026, with settlement determined by the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The market currently shows 0% implied probability across all listed exact-score outcomes on Polymarket's order book, indicating either extremely tight pricing on individual scorelines or minimal liquidity in the contract cluster. This zero-probability reading typically reflects the mathematical reality that no single exact score commands sufficient backing to register measurable probability mass when dozens of potential outcomes fragment the probability space.

Historical precedent suggests exact-score markets in Brazilian Série A fixtures rarely concentrate probability above 5–8% on any single result, even for heavily favoured scorelines like 1–0 or 2–1. The 2024–25 season saw Flamengo and Grêmio as consistent top-four contenders, with Flamengo holding stronger recent form; however, exact-score prediction remains inherently dispersed given the low-scoring nature of football and tactical variability between these clubs.

Traders should monitor team news through early May, particularly injury status and squad rotation decisions as the season approaches its climax. Fixture congestion—both clubs typically face midweek commitments in the run-in—may influence starting lineups and tactical approach. Recent form trends and head-to-head records from the 2025 season will sharpen probability estimates closer to kickoff, though the settlement window closes only 22:30 UTC on match day, allowing limited time for late-breaking information to shift prices materially.

Wikipedia Context

Grêmio FBPA
Grêmio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense, commonly known as Grêmio, is a Brazilian professional football club based in Porto Alegre, the capital city of the Brazilian state of Rio Grande do Sul. The club plays in the Campeonato Brasileiro Série A, the first division of the Brazilian football league system, and the Campeonato Gaúcho, Rio Grande do Sul's top state lea
Grêmio FBPA (youth)
Grêmio FBPA Academy is the youth set up of Grêmio. Is composed of several youth teams from the age group of under-7 to the under-20, and is considered one of the most prolific football academies in Brazil as also in the world.
Grêmio FBPA (women)
Grêmio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense, commonly known as Grêmio or Mosqueteiras, is a Brazilian women's Association football club, based in the city of Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil. It is the women's section of Grêmio. They won the Campeonato Gaúcho de Futebol Feminino four times.
Grêmio Barueri Futebol
Grêmio Barueri Futebol Ltda., generally known as Grêmio Barueri, or just as Barueri, is a Brazilian football club from Barueri, São Paulo state. The club was formerly known as Grêmio Recreativo Barueri and Grêmio Prudente Futebol Ltda.

Resolution source

This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.cbf.com.br/futebol-brasileiro/competicoes/campeonato-brasileiro-serie-a. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.

How to trade this market step by step

The mechanics for trading "Grêmio FBPA vs. CR Flamengo - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.

Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.

Key terms

YES / NO share: A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
CLOB: Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
Liquidity: USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
UMA optimistic oracle: The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
Slippage: The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
Conditional token: ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.

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Frequently asked questions

How does this market resolve?

Resolution is sourced from https://www.cbf.com.br/futebol-brasileiro/competicoes/campeonato-brasileiro-serie-a. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.

When does this market close?

This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.

How can I trade on "Grêmio FBPA vs. CR Flamengo - Exact Score"?

To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.

What happens when the market resolves?

When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.

Risk and regulatory note

Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.

Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.

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