Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming 2. Bundesliga game, scheduled for Sunday, May 10, 2026 between SC Preußen Münster and SV Darmstadt 98.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| SC Preußen Münster | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Draw (SC Preußen Münster vs. SV Darmstadt 98) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| SV Darmstadt 98 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
SC Preußen Münster will host SV Darmstadt 98 in a 2. Bundesliga fixture on Sunday, 10 May 2026. The match represents a late-season encounter in Germany's second tier, with both clubs competing for positioning ahead of the final weeks of the campaign. The current 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects either minimal trading activity in this pair or a structural absence of YES-side liquidity at present valuations.
Darmstadt 98 have established themselves as a competitive 2. Bundesliga side following their 2022–23 Bundesliga relegation, whilst Münster operate as a mid-table fixture in the division. Historical matchups between comparable second-tier sides show that away teams in May typically carry 25–35% win probability depending on form trajectories and table position. The zero probability reading suggests the current order book has not yet absorbed meaningful backing for a Darmstadt victory, a common pattern in niche sports markets with low initial volume.
Traders monitoring this fixture should track squad injury updates and league standings as May approaches, particularly any late-season form swings that might alter relative strength. Darmstadt's recent fixture congestion and Münster's home-ground advantage will factor into pre-match assessments. The settlement window closes at 11:30 UTC on match day, allowing for late-market repricing as team news and betting-market consensus crystallise in the 48 hours before kick-off.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.bundesliga.com/en/2bundesliga. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "SC Preußen Münster vs. SV Darmstadt 98" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$101K in lifetime turnover and $152K of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 30% by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $98K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.bundesliga.com/en/2bundesliga. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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