Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Liga Endesa game, scheduled for June 3 at 1:00PM ET: If the Valencia win, the market will resolve to "Valencia". If the Bilbao Basket win, the market will resolve to "Bilbao Basket". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Valencia vs. Bilbao Basket | 82% YES | 18% NO |
Valencia and Bilbao Basket are scheduled to meet in Liga Endesa on 3 June at 1:00 PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects an 86% implied probability for a Valencia victory, suggesting the market views them as clear favourites. This probability has formed through active trading across the platform's liquidity pools, with traders pricing in Valencia's competitive standing relative to their opponent.
Valencia's historical performance in Liga Endesa provides context for the current market pricing. As a perennial contender in Spain's top basketball division, Valencia has consistently competed at the highest level, which underpins confidence in their ability to prevail against most opponents. Comparable matchups involving top-tier Spanish clubs typically see similar probability distributions when facing mid-table or lower-ranked sides, though the specific gap between these two teams' recent form and standings would determine whether 86% represents fair value or overpricing.
Traders should monitor squad availability in the week preceding the fixture, particularly any injury announcements affecting key players on either side. Liga Endesa scheduling can occasionally shift due to fixture congestion or administrative changes, so confirmation of the 3 June date remains relevant. The settlement window closes on 10 June at 17:00 UTC, providing a one-week buffer after the scheduled match. Any postponement would extend the market's duration, whilst outright cancellation without rescheduling would trigger a 50-50 resolution. Recent form data and head-to-head records between these clubs would also inform whether the current probability adequately reflects underlying competitive dynamics.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.acb.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Valencia vs. Bilbao Basket" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$14 in lifetime turnover and $8K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $14 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 82%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.acb.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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