Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming AHL game, scheduled for May 5 at 7:00PM ET: If Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins win, the market will resolve to "Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins". If Hershey Bears win, the market will resolve to "Hershey Bears". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| AHL: Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins vs. Hershey Bears | 100% YES | 0% NO |
The American Hockey League matchup between Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins and Hershey Bears on 5 May at 7:00 PM ET represents a playoff-stage contest with significant implications for both franchises' postseason trajectories. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for resolution, suggesting either overwhelming confidence in one outcome or minimal liquidity depth at present price levels. This extreme probability typically emerges in markets with sparse trading activity or when one side commands substantial backing early in the settlement window.
Historical context for AHL playoff matchups shows that home-ice advantage and recent form carry measurable weight, though upsets occur with regularity in best-of-seven series. The Penguins and Bears have competed in the Atlantic Division, with their head-to-head records and current playoff seeding determining roster availability and tactical preparation. Recent AHL standings and playoff brackets should inform whether either team enters with momentum or injury concerns that might shift expected outcomes.
Traders should monitor official AHL scheduling announcements through early May, as postponements or cancellations—whilst uncommon—would trigger the market's contingency provisions. Roster updates from parent NHL organisations (Pittsburgh Penguins and Washington Capitals respectively) could affect player availability if call-ups occur before the fixture. The settlement window closing at 23:00 UTC on 5 May allows minimal margin for overtime resolution, making game-time confirmation critical for final positioning.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://theahl.com/stats/schedule. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "AHL: Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins vs. Hershey Bears" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$1K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 100%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://theahl.com/stats/schedule. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 5 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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