Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming AHL game, scheduled for May 6 at 9:05PM ET: If Henderson Silver Knights win, the market will resolve to "Henderson Silver Knights". If Colorado Eagles win, the market will resolve to "Colorado Eagles". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| AHL: Henderson Silver Knights vs. Colorado Eagles | 0% YES | 100% NO |
The Henderson Silver Knights face the Colorado Eagles in an American Hockey League playoff contest scheduled for 6 May at 9:05 PM ET. This matchup falls within the AHL's playoff window, where both teams compete for advancement in the postseason bracket. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 0% implied probability for a Henderson victory, suggesting the market has priced this as a heavily favoured outcome for Colorado or reflects minimal trading activity at present price levels.
AHL playoff games historically exhibit volatility in prediction markets, particularly when teams possess comparable regular-season records or when one squad enters as the clear favourite. The 0% probability reading warrants scrutiny—such extreme prices often indicate either sparse liquidity in the order book or a consensus view amongst active traders. Comparable AHL playoff matchups typically see probabilities shift materially once teams' injury reports and recent form become apparent in the final 48 hours before puck drop.
Traders should monitor roster announcements from both organisations, particularly regarding player availability and any last-minute lineup changes that could affect goaltending or forward depth. The AHL playoff schedule occasionally experiences postponements due to travel logistics or facility issues, which would keep this market open beyond the settlement window. Recent playoff results between these franchises and their current playoff seeding will provide context for whether the current pricing reflects genuine competitive disparity or represents an opportunity at the extremes.
Ann Henderson-Sellers is an Emeritus Professor of the Department of Environment and Geography at Macquarie University, Sydney. She was the Director of the Joint Planning Staff (JPS) of the World Climate Research Programme in 2006 and 2007 and was the Director of the Environment Division at ANSTO from 1998 to 2005. She was the Deputy Vice-Chancellor of The Ro
Ann Henderson is a campaigner in the labour movement and former Rector of the University of Edinburgh.
Ann Mary Henderson was an Australian politician. She was a member of the Victorian Legislative Assembly from 1992 to 1999, representing the seat of Geelong for the Liberal Party. She held ministerial office in the government of Jeff Kennett, serving as Minister for Housing and Minister Responsible for Aboriginal Affairs.
Ame Henderson is a Canadian choreographer and performance-maker raised on Vancouver Island. Henderson received a BFA from Concordia University (Montreal) and MFA from the Amsterdam School of the Arts.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://theahl.com/stats/schedule. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "AHL: Henderson Silver Knights vs. Colorado Eagles" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$344 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 0%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://theahl.com/stats/schedule. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 7 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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