Trade: The American Rodeo: West Regional Saddle Bronc Winner

Opened 30 April 2026 · Settles 3 May 2026

Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve in favor of the rider who is named the winner of Saddle Bronc Riding at the 2026 American West Regionals, scheduled to take place May 1-May 2, 2026, per the rules of The American Rodeo. In the event of a tie, the market will resolve based on the official result as determined by The American Rodeo. If multiple winners are declared, this market will resolve in favor of the rider whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If a rider is disqualified or otherwise ineligible to participate in the listed event per the rules of The American Rodeo, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.

Liquidity: —
Total Volume: $1K
24h Volume: —
Open Interest: $1K

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Market outcomes

Kade Bruno	0% YES	100% NO
Jesse Wright	0% YES	100% NO
Rider A	0% YES	100% NO
Rider D	0% YES	100% NO
Rider G	0% YES	100% NO
Rider J	0% YES	100% NO
Rider M	0% YES	100% NO
Rider P	0% YES	100% NO

Market context

The American Rodeo's West Regional saddle bronc competition will take place on 1–2 May 2026, with the winner determined according to Professional Rodeo Cowboys Association (PRCA) scoring standards. The event forms part of The American Rodeo circuit, which has grown in prominence as a sanctioned alternative to the traditional PRCA tour, attracting both established and emerging competitors seeking additional high-purse opportunities. Settlement occurs on 3 May 2026, immediately following the conclusion of competition.

The current 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects the market's nascent stage, with minimal trading activity and no crystallised consensus among participants. Comparable regional saddle bronc events typically see competitive fields of 15–30 riders, with outcomes heavily dependent on both horse draw and rider consistency across two rounds. Historical data from similar American Rodeo events shows that favourites rarely command probabilities exceeding 15–20% in individual event markets, given the variance introduced by animal performance and judging discretion.

Key catalysts for traders include the official competitor draw announcement, typically released 2–4 weeks before the event, which determines horse-rider pairings and significantly influences perceived win probabilities. Injury announcements or withdrawals by ranked competitors will shift market expectations. Monitoring The American Rodeo's official communications and entry lists through April 2026 remains essential, as late scratches or rule clarifications could alter settlement conditions. Current zero liquidity suggests early traders may face wide spreads until the draw is published and market interest consolidates.

Wikipedia Context

The American Rodeo
The American Rodeo, or simply The American, is an annual rodeo held since 2014 in Arlington, Texas.
American Radio Relay League
The American Radio Relay League (ARRL) is the largest membership association of amateur radio enthusiasts in the United States. The ARRL is a non-profit organization and was co-founded on April 6, 1914, by Hiram Percy Maxim and Clarence D. Tuska of Hartford, Connecticut. The ARRL represents the interests of amateur radio operators before federal regulatory b
American robotics
Robots of the United States include simple household robots such as Roomba to sophisticated autonomous aircraft such as the MQ-9 Reaper that cost 18 million dollars per unit. The first industrial robot, robot company, and exoskeletons as well as the first dynamically balancing, organic, and nanoscale robots originate from the United States.
American Video Awards
The American Video Awards (1983–1987) was an annual music video award show taped for distribution to television. The First Annual American Video Awards was hosted by radio personality Casey Kasem, and Kasem continued in his role as emcee of the show in succeeding years. The first (1983), second (1984) and third shows were syndicated to television channels ac

Resolution source

This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.youtube.com/live/qfgT46FmSiM. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.

How to trade this market step by step

The mechanics for trading "The American Rodeo: West Regional Saddle Bronc Winner" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.

Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.

How active is this market?

$1K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for saddle bronc contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.

The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.

Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.

Key terms

YES / NO share: A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
CLOB: Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
Liquidity: USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
UMA optimistic oracle: The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
Slippage: The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
Conditional token: ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.

See the full prediction-market glossary →

Frequently asked questions

How does this market resolve?

Resolution is sourced from https://www.youtube.com/live/qfgT46FmSiM. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.

When does this market close?

This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.

How can I trade on " The American Rodeo: West Regional Saddle Bronc Winner"?

To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.

What happens when the market resolves?

When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.

Risk and regulatory note

Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.

Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.

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