Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NBA Clutch Player of the Year. If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Clutch Player of the Year, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| James Harden | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Nikola Jokic | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Darius Garland | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Player 7 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Player 9 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Player 1 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Player 3 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Anthony Davis | 0% YES | 100% NO |
The NBA will award its Clutch Player of the Year honour for the 2025–26 season, recognising the player who performs most effectively in close games during the final moments. The award considers performance in games decided by five points or fewer in the final minute, a metric the league has tracked formally since the 2019–20 season. The 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects either minimal trading activity on this specific market or a consensus that the listed player faces substantial headwinds against winning the award.
Historical precedent shows clutch performance awards typically favour high-volume scorers on playoff-contending teams. Since the metric's introduction, the award has gone to players like Damian Lillard and Luka Dončić—both primary offensive options on competitive rosters. The current crowd probability suggests traders assess the listed player as unlikely to accumulate sufficient clutch statistics or lack the team context necessary to compete for recognition. The award's reliance on objective statistical thresholds means performance data becomes increasingly concrete as the season progresses.
Key catalysts include the NBA's regular season schedule through April 2026, with clutch statistics updated throughout the campaign. The league typically announces finalists in June, providing clarity on which players entered contention. Team playoff seeding will influence which players receive late-game opportunities in tight contests. Traders should monitor injury reports affecting the listed player's availability and team performance, as players on struggling franchises accumulate fewer clutch moments regardless of individual skill.
The NBA Clutch Player of the Year is an award given to a National Basketball Association (NBA) player who "best comes through for his teammates in the clutch" in the regular season. The winner receives the Jerry West Trophy. The trophy is named after Jerry West, who had a reputation of being a clutch player when he played for the Los Angeles Lakers for his e
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.nba.com/awards. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "NBA Clutch Player of the Year Winner" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$501K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 2% by volume for nba contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for 7 months — long enough that the order book is mature and price is well-anchored to fundamentals.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.nba.com/awards. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 30 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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