This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is an official extension of the 10-day ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hezbollah announced on April 16, 2026, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed extension to the halt in direct military engagement between Israel and Hezbollah, by the…
Market Outcomes
| April 21 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| April 26 | 68% YES | 33% NO |