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Geopolitics

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by...?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is an official extension of the 10-day ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hezbollah announced on April 16, 2026, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed extension to the halt in direct military engagement between Israel and Hezbollah, by the…

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Market Outcomes

April 21 0% YES100% NO
April 26 72% YES28% NO
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