Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL match between Nongshim Esports Academy and Gen.G Global Academy in the LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2, initially scheduled for May 21 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Nongshim Esports Academy" if Nongshim Esports Academy win the match against Gen.G Global Academy. This market will resolve to "Gen.G Global Academy" if Gen.G Global Academy win the match against Nongshim Esports Academy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 85% YES | 15% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 79% YES | 21% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 79% YES | 21% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 51% YES | 50% NO |
| Game Handicap: NS.EA (-1.5) vs Gen.G Global Academy (+1.5) | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% YES | 51% NO |
Nongshim Esports Academy will face Gen.G Global Academy in a best-of-three League of Legends match within the LCK Challengers League's opening rounds, scheduled for 21 May 2026 at 01:00 ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects an 84% implied probability favouring Nongshim, suggesting the market views them as clear favourites in this academy-level competition. Settlement occurs at the scheduled match time, with resolution contingent on a decisive result; cancellations, ties, or delays exceeding seven days without completion trigger a no-contest resolution.
Academy rosters in the LCK Challengers League typically feature prospects developing towards main-roster eligibility, with performance variance influenced by roster stability and coaching infrastructure. Gen.G's academy programme historically benefits from the organisation's main-team resources and scouting network, though academy results don't consistently predict main-roster trajectory. Nongshim's academy setup has shown competitive results in recent Challengers seasons, establishing the baseline for current market pricing.
Traders should monitor roster announcements or injury disclosures from either organisation prior to match day, as academy lineups occasionally shift with short notice. The LCK Challengers League schedule typically runs without delays, though technical issues or unforeseen circumstances could affect the 7-day settlement window. Recent esports fixture data suggests academy matches proceed as scheduled with high frequency, supporting the market's confidence in a resolution occurring on or near the designated date.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://play-origin.sooplive.com/afchall. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $2K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for games contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://play-origin.sooplive.com/afchall. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 21 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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