Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Aruzhan Sagandikova and Anna Sedysheva in the ITF Women Tsaghkadzor, originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aruzhan Sagandikova' if Aruzhan Sagandikova advances against Anna Sedysheva. This market will resolve to 'Anna Sedysheva' if Anna Sedysheva advances against Aruzhan Sagandikova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Tsaghkadzor: Aruzhan Sagandikova vs Anna Sedysheva | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Aruzhan Sagandikova of Kazakhstan faces Anna Sedysheva in a women's ITF tennis match scheduled for 29 May 2026 at the Tsaghkadzor tournament in Armenia. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Sagandikova's advancement, suggesting the market is pricing in either strong confidence in her victory or minimal liquidity at present price levels. Settlement occurs by 5 June 2026, allowing a seven-day window for match completion before the market resolves to a 50-50 split if no winner emerges.
ITF Women's circuit matches at this level typically feature significant variance in outcomes, with ranking disparities often compressed compared to WTA main tour events. Historical precedent suggests markets showing extreme probabilities (95%+) on lower-tier professional tennis frequently reflect incomplete information rather than genuine certainty. Sagandikova, ranked outside the top 500 globally, would need substantial form advantage or head-to-head record to justify such confidence, though limited public match history between these players may explain the current pricing.
Traders should monitor official ITF tournament updates and player withdrawal announcements through late May, as fixture cancellations and player retirements occur regularly at this level. Weather conditions in Armenia during late May could affect scheduling. The seven-day resolution buffer creates meaningful tail risk if the match is delayed beyond the initial date without completion, triggering the 50-50 outcome regardless of match status.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Tsaghkadzor: Aruzhan Sagandikova vs Anna Sedysheva" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$600 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for games contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 5 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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