Trade: ODI Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka - Team Top Batter
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to which team's player records the highest individual run total in the cricket match between West Indies and Sri Lanka scheduled for 2026-06-06 in ODI Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka. This market resolves according to the finalized match statistics as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to West Indies will be considered correct if the highest individual score in the match is recorded exclusively by a player from West Indies. The outcome corresponding to Sri Lanka will be considered correct if the highest individual score is recorded exclusively by a player from Sri Lanka.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $112
- Total Volume
- —
- 24h Volume
- —
- Open Interest
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Market outcomes
| WST2 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Draw | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| LKA2 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
Market context
West Indies and Sri Lanka will contest an ODI match on 6 June 2026, with this market determining which team produces the match's highest individual run scorer. The current order book on Polymarket prices West Indies at 46% implied probability, reflecting modest favouring of a Sri Lankan top batter recording the highest individual score. Settlement hinges on ESPN Cricinfo's final match statistics, with the window closing 13 June 2026.
Historical ODI encounters between these sides show variable patterns in batting dominance. West Indies' top-order depth has fluctuated considerably over recent years, whilst Sri Lanka has maintained more consistent individual batting talent, particularly in middle-order positions. Recent bilateral series outcomes suggest neither team holds decisive advantage in producing standout individual performances, though Sri Lanka's batting lineup has demonstrated greater stability in 2025–2026 international fixtures. The 46% probability reflects genuine uncertainty rather than strong directional conviction from the market.
Traders should monitor team announcements regarding squad composition and player availability in the weeks preceding the match, as injuries to key batters would materially shift probabilities. Venue conditions at the scheduled ground merit attention—pitch reports typically emerge 24–48 hours before play. Recent form data from both nations' domestic competitions and warm-up matches will provide concrete signals about current batting sharpness. Weather forecasts closer to the fixture date may influence team selection strategies and playing conditions that favour either aggressive or cautious batting approaches.
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Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.espncricinfo.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "ODI Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka - Team Top Batter" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$0 in lifetime turnover and $112 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for games contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from https://www.espncricinfo.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 13 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "ODI Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka - Team Top Batter"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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