Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to which team's player records the highest individual run total in the cricket match between Romania and Bulgaria scheduled for 2026-05-09 in T20 Series Romania vs Bulgaria. This market resolves according to the finalized match statistics as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Romania will be considered correct if the highest individual score in the match is recorded exclusively by a player from Romania. The outcome corresponding to Bulgaria will be considered correct if the highest individual score is recorded exclusively by a player from Bulgaria.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Draw | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| BGR | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| ROU | 100% YES | 0% NO |
A T20 cricket match between Romania and Bulgaria is scheduled for 9 May 2026 as part of the T20 Series Romania vs Bulgaria. This market resolves based on which team's player records the highest individual run total in the match, with settlement determined by ESPN Cricinfo's finalised match statistics. The current 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects minimal trading activity or strong consensus that one outcome dominates the matchup.
Both Romania and Bulgaria remain developing cricket nations with limited international T20 exposure compared to established cricket boards. Romania has competed in European T20 championships and qualification tournaments, whilst Bulgaria's cricket infrastructure remains nascent. Historical performance data between these nations is sparse, making comparable precedent difficult to establish. The 0% probability likely reflects either illiquidity in the order book rather than certainty about outcome, or traders' assessment that one nation's batting depth substantially outmatches the other's bowling attack.
Key variables affecting resolution include squad composition announcements closer to May 2026, injury updates to key batters, and venue conditions at the scheduled ground. Weather forecasts in the week preceding the match will influence pitch behaviour and scoring patterns. Traders should monitor official T20 Series Romania vs Bulgaria communications for team sheets and any fixture changes. The settlement window closes 16 May 2026, allowing time for ESPN Cricinfo to publish verified match statistics after play concludes.
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This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.espncricinfo.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "T20 Series Romania vs Bulgaria: Romania vs Bulgaria - Team Top Batter" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$333 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for games contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.espncricinfo.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 16 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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