Games

Trade: T20 Asian Games, Women, Qualifier: Indonesia vs Nepal - Toss Match Double

Opened 27 May 2026 · Settles 4 June 2026

Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between Indonesia and Nepal scheduled for 2026-05-27 in T20 Asian Games, Women, Qualifier. This market resolves according to (1) the official toss result and (2) the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Indonesia will be considered correct if Indonesia is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to Nepal will be considered correct if Nepal is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match.

PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.

Liquidity: —
Total Volume: $224
24h Volume: —
Open Interest: —

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Market outcomes

Draw	100% YES	0% NO
NPL3	0% YES	100% NO
IDN6	0% YES	100% NO

Market context

Indonesia and Nepal will contest a women's T20 cricket match on 27 May 2026 as part of the Asian Games qualifying tournament. This market requires both the coin toss outcome and the final match result to align with a single nation—either Indonesia must win the toss and the match, or Nepal must win the toss and the match. Any other combination (one team winning the toss whilst the other wins the match) results in the market resolving to neither outcome. The settlement window closes on 4 June 2026, allowing time for official confirmation via ESPNcricinfo.

The current Polymarket order book reflects a 100% implied probability for a YES resolution, suggesting traders are pricing in an extremely high likelihood that one team will achieve the double outcome. Historically, combined toss-and-match markets in cricket show significant variance because toss results are genuinely random events (approximately 50/50), whilst match outcomes depend on team strength, conditions, and form. The pairing of these independent events typically produces probabilities well below certainty unless one team is overwhelmingly favoured in match play.

Traders should monitor team announcements regarding squad composition and recent performance records in the lead-up to 27 May. Indonesia's women's cricket programme has expanded considerably in recent years, whilst Nepal has established itself as a competitive regional force. Pitch conditions and weather forecasts from the host venue will influence match-outcome expectations closer to the fixture date. The extreme probability currently displayed warrants scrutiny against available team data and recent head-to-head records.

Wikipedia Context

Asia Cup
The Men's Asia Cup is a biennial cricket tournament organized by the Asian Cricket Council (ACC). It features senior men's national teams from Asian member countries and determines the continental cricket champion of Asia. The tournament was established in the year 1983, coinciding with the formation of the Asian Cricket Council, as an effort to promote good
The Asian Awards
The Asian Awards is an annual award ceremony for the global Asian community which takes place in the United Kingdom, with 14 categories that include business, philanthropy, entertainment, culture and sport. Nominees are selected by an independent judging panel initially co-chaired by Baroness Verma and Nat Wei, Baron Wei then from 2014 onwards Karan Bilimori
Tao Asian Bistro
Tao Asian Bistro is an Asian fusion restaurant and nightclub chain founded in New York City in 2000. The flagship brand of Tao Group Hospitality, in addition to two locations in New York, Tao further operates one location each in Los Angeles, Chicago, Las Vegas, and the Mohegan Sun resort, with the locations in Chicago, Manhattan's Chelsea district and The V
The Asian American Foundation
The Asian American Foundation (TAAF) is an American foundation founded in 2021 by a group of prominent Asian Americans and Pacific Islanders. Its stated goal is to support an array of Asian American and Pacific Islander causes and create a national infrastructure for a community that has faced an increasing number of racial attacks.

Resolution source

This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.espncricinfo.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.

How to trade this market step by step

The mechanics for trading "T20 Asian Games, Women, Qualifier: Indonesia vs Nepal - Toss Match Double" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.

Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.

How active is this market?

$224 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for games contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.

The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.

Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.

Key terms

YES / NO share: A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
CLOB: Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
Liquidity: USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
UMA optimistic oracle: The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
Slippage: The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
Conditional token: ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.

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Frequently asked questions

How does this market resolve?

Resolution is sourced from https://www.espncricinfo.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.

When does this market close?

This prediction market is scheduled to close on 4 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.

How can I trade on "T20 Asian Games, Women, Qualifier: Indonesia vs Nepal - Toss Match Double"?

To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.

What happens when the market resolves?

When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.

Risk and regulatory note

Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.

Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.

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