Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to which team hits the greater number of sixes in the cricket match between Derbyshire and Nottinghamshire scheduled for 2026-05-29 in T20 Blast. This market resolves according to the finalized match statistics as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Derbyshire will be considered correct if Derbyshire is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than Nottinghamshire.The outcome corresponding to Nottinghamshire will be considered correct if Nottinghamshire is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than Derbyshire. If both teams record the same number of sixes, the market will resolve to "Draw".
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| NOT | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| DER | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Draw | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Derbyshire and Nottinghamshire will contest a T20 Blast fixture on 29 May 2026, with this market determining which side strikes more sixes across the match. The current order book on Polymarket shows zero probability assigned to a YES resolution, reflecting either extreme confidence in a Nottinghamshire outcome or minimal trading activity establishing a floor price. Settlement depends on final match statistics published by ESPNcricinfo, with the window closing at 13:30 UTC on 5 June 2026.
T20 Blast fixtures between these East Midlands rivals historically produce variable six counts depending on pitch conditions and squad composition. Nottinghamshire have typically fielded stronger batting lineups in recent seasons, though Derbyshire's aggressive middle order can generate explosive phases. Six-hitting rates in T20 Blast matches average between 8–14 per team, with variance driven substantially by ground dimensions, outfield dimensions at Derby's County Ground versus Trent Bridge, and whether either side fields overseas power-hitters during the competition window.
Traders should monitor team announcements regarding squad availability and injury status in the weeks preceding the fixture, as loss of key batsmen materially affects six-hitting potential. Weather forecasts closer to 29 May will indicate pitch behaviour—overcast conditions typically suppress boundary-hitting frequency. Recent form in the 2026 Blast group stage, published via ESPNcricinfo's live coverage, will provide the most direct signal of each team's attacking intent and execution patterns heading into this specific encounter.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.espncricinfo.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "T20 Blast: Derbyshire vs Nottinghamshire - Most Sixes" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$230 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for games contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.espncricinfo.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 5 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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