Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the Colombia Primera A game, scheduled for June 2 at 8:30 PM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| CDPJuniorFC (-1.5) | 14% YES | 87% NO |
| CDPJuniorFC (-2.5) | 10% YES | 90% NO |
| Atlético Nacional (-2.5) | 12% YES | 89% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 91% YES | 9% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 71% YES | 30% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 44% YES | 56% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 26% YES | 74% NO |
| O/U 5.5 | 10% YES | 91% NO |
CDP Junior will face Atlético Nacional in Colombia's top division on 2 June at 8:30 PM ET. The match represents a fixture between two clubs with markedly different recent trajectories in the Categoría Primera A. Atlético Nacional, based in Medellín, remains one of Colombia's traditional powerhouses with consistent continental competition experience, whilst CDP Junior operates from Cúcuta in the north and has historically occupied a more modest position in the league hierarchy.
The current 14% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects a substantial underdog positioning for this market. Historical precedent suggests that when Colombian league matches feature a traditional elite side against a smaller provincial club, the probability distribution typically skews heavily towards the favoured team, particularly in markets settling on specific outcomes. Comparable fixtures involving Atlético Nacional against lower-ranked opponents have historically seen similar or even lower probabilities assigned to the underdog, though league parity has increased in recent seasons.
Traders should monitor team news regarding injuries or suspensions in the lead-up to settlement on 3 June. Recent form data from both sides' preceding matches will provide concrete indicators of current squad condition. Weather conditions in Cúcuta on match day may influence play style and goal probability. Any official league announcements regarding fixture changes or rescheduling would directly impact settlement timing, though the current schedule remains stable as of now.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://dimayor.com.co/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "CDPJuniorFC vs. Atlético Nacional - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$619 in lifetime turnover and $65K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for games contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $610 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://dimayor.com.co/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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