Fifa world cup

Trade: Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde - Exact Score

Opened · Settles

Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Uruguay and Cabo Verde, scheduled for June 21, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde match originally scheduled for June 21, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the…

PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.

Liquidity
$2K
Total Volume
$45
24h Volume
—
Open Interest
$5
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Market outcomes

Exact Score: 0-1 5% YES95% NO
Exact Score: 0-2 5% YES96% NO
Exact Score: 2-0 14% YES87% NO
Exact Score: 1-2 6% YES94% NO
Exact Score: 3-0 8% YES92% NO
Exact Score: 2-2 6% YES95% NO
Exact Score: 2-3 4% YES96% NO
Exact Score: 3-3 4% YES96% NO

Market context

Uruguay and Cabo Verde are scheduled to meet in the 2026 FIFA World Cup on 21 June at 6:00 PM ET. This market settles on the exact final score at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The 5% implied probability reflects the current order book on Polymarket, where traders are pricing the likelihood of a specific scoreline materialising rather than any other result.

Uruguay enters as a established South American side with World Cup pedigree, whilst Cabo Verde qualified for their first World Cup appearance in 2022 and remains a relative newcomer to the tournament. Historical precedent suggests that matches between significantly disparate competitive levels—particularly involving African nations against established South American sides—tend to produce wider score differentials than narrow margins. The specificity required here (exact score rather than outcome) naturally compresses probability across individual scorelines; even favourable outcomes for Uruguay distribute across multiple possibilities like 2–0, 3–0, 2–1, and so forth.

Traders should monitor squad announcements and injury reports as the tournament approaches, particularly regarding Uruguay's attacking depth and Cabo Verde's defensive stability. Fixture scheduling within the group stage may influence team rotation and intensity. Recent World Cup qualifying performance data from both nations—Uruguay's CONMEBOL campaign and Cabo Verde's African qualification path—provides baseline form indicators. The settlement window closes immediately after final whistle on 21 June, leaving no window for late-breaking developments to alter the resolved scoreline.

Wikipedia Context

  • COVID-19 pandemic in Uruguay
    COVID-19 pandemic in Uruguay

    The COVID-19 pandemic in Uruguay has resulted in 1,043,251 confirmed cases of COVID-19 and 7,696 deaths.

  • Uruguay Cove

    Uruguay Cove is a cove in the west part of Jessie Bay on the north coast of Laurie Island, in the South Orkney Islands. Charted in 1903 by the Scottish National Antarctic Expedition under W.S. Bruce. He named the cove after the Argentine corvette Uruguay, which for many years after 1904 carried relief parties to the Argentine meteorological station near the

  • Uruguay at the Copa América
    Uruguay at the Copa América

    The Copa América is South America's major tournament in senior men's football and determines the continental champion. Until 1967, the tournament was known as South American Championship. It is the oldest continental championship in the world with its first edition held in 1916.

  • Cuba–Uruguay relations
    Cuba–Uruguay relations

    Cuba–Uruguay relations refers to the diplomatic relations between the Republic of Cuba and the Oriental Republic of Uruguay. Both nations are members of the Community of Latin American and Caribbean States, Group of 77, Organization of Ibero-American States and the United Nations.

Resolution source

This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.

How to trade this market step by step

The mechanics for trading "Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.

  1. Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
  2. Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
  3. Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
  4. Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
  5. Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
  6. Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.

How active is this market?

$45 in lifetime turnover and $2K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for fifa world cup contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.

The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.

Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.

Key terms

YES / NO share
A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
CLOB
Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
Liquidity
USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
UMA optimistic oracle
The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
Slippage
The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
Conditional token
ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.

See the full prediction-market glossary →

Frequently asked questions

How does this market resolve?

Resolution is sourced from https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.

When does this market close?

This prediction market is scheduled to close on 21 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.

How can I trade on "Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde - Exact Score"?

To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.

What happens when the market resolves?

When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.

Risk and regulatory note

Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.

Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.

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