Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket final match between Joblife and Mandatory in the VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 4 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Joblife" if Joblife win the match against Mandatory. This market will resolve to "Mandatory" if Mandatory win the match against Joblife. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map Handicap: MDR (-1.5) vs Joblife (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map Handicap: JL (-1.5) vs Mandatory (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Joblife and Mandatory will contest the upper bracket final of the Valorant Competitive League France: Revolution Stage 2 Playoffs on 4 May at 12:00 PM ET in a best-of-three series. The winner advances directly to the grand final; the loser drops to the lower bracket. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Joblife, indicating the market is pricing them as heavy favourites, though this extreme probability typically reflects either very limited liquidity at the extremes or a consensus view among active traders that Joblife's victory is near-certain.
VCL France operates within the broader EMEA Valorant ecosystem, where regional upsets remain common despite apparent skill gaps. Recent comparable fixtures in tier-one regional playoffs—including other EMEA upper bracket finals—have occasionally seen favourites priced at 85–95% fail to convert, particularly when facing teams with strong map pools or recent momentum. Mandatory's path to this stage and their head-to-head record against Joblife this season should inform whether the 100% pricing reflects genuine dominance or market inefficiency.
Traders should monitor official VCL France communications for any schedule changes or roster confirmations in the days preceding the match. Technical issues, internet outages, or player unavailability have occasionally forced delays in regional Valorant playoffs; the settlement window extends to 22:00 UTC on 4 May, providing a seven-day buffer before the 50-50 tie-break resolution triggers. Any announcement of format changes or unexpected roster substitutions could shift the probability meaningfully from its current extreme.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/valorant_fr. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Valorant: Joblife vs Mandatory (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$37K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the around the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/valorant_fr. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 4 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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