Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between Cloud9 and Team Envy in the Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 1, initially scheduled for May 12 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Cloud9" if Cloud9 win the match against Team Envy. This market will resolve to "Team Envy" if Team Envy win the match against Cloud9. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 55% YES | 46% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 54% YES | 46% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 54% YES | 46% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| Map Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Team Envy (+1.5) | 34% YES | 66% NO |
Cloud9 and Team Envy face off in an upper bracket semifinal of the Valorant Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 1, scheduled for 12 May at 8:00PM ET. The match is a best-of-three format, with the winner advancing deeper into the qualifier bracket. The current Polymarket order book reflects a 51% implied probability for Cloud9, suggesting near-parity between the two organisations, though with a marginal lean towards the defending side.
Cloud9 and Team Envy represent established North American Valorant franchises with distinct recent trajectories. Cloud9 has maintained competitive roster stability through 2024–2025, whilst Team Envy underwent significant personnel changes following their 2024 campaign. Historical head-to-head records between these teams show competitive matches, though Cloud9 has held a slight edge in recent international qualifier events. The current 51–49 split reflects uncertainty about how Team Envy's roster adjustments translate to stage performance, rather than a decisive structural advantage for either side.
Traders should monitor official schedule confirmations and any last-minute roster changes announced before the 12 May fixture. Team Envy's integration of new players and their performance in preceding qualifier rounds will signal preparation quality. Likewise, Cloud9's performance in earlier stage matches will indicate current form. The settlement window closes 13 May at 06:00 UTC, allowing a 22-hour buffer for match completion beyond the scheduled start time. Any technical delays or cancellations extending beyond seven days would trigger a 50–50 resolution.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://vlr.gg. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Valorant: Cloud9 vs Team Envy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 1" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$537 in lifetime turnover and $10K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
Last 24 hours alone saw $537 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://vlr.gg. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 13 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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