Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Rocket League match between Twisted Minds and Shopify Rebellion in the RLCS World Championship Group C, initially scheduled for May 20 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Twisted Minds" if Twisted Minds win the match against Shopify Rebellion. This market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion" if Shopify Rebellion win the match against Twisted Minds. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 55% YES | 45% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 56% YES | 44% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 56% YES | 44% NO |
| Game 3 Winner | 56% YES | 44% NO |
| Game 4 Winner | 56% YES | 44% NO |
| O/U 3.5 Games | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| O/U 4.5 Games | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Game Handicap: TWIS (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5) | 50% YES | 51% NO |
Twisted Minds and Shopify Rebellion will contest a best-of-five match in RLCS World Championship Group C on 20 May at 11:00 ET. The current order book on Polymarket prices Twisted Minds at 55 per cent implied probability, reflecting modest favouritism amongst traders. The match determines positioning within the group stage and carries material consequences for playoff seeding at the world championship.
Twisted Minds have historically performed as a mid-tier North American side, whilst Shopify Rebellion represent the Canadian contingent and have shown inconsistent results across recent RLCS seasons. Comparable group-stage encounters between regionally-ranked teams of similar standing typically settle near 50-55 per cent for the slightly favoured side, suggesting the current pricing reflects genuine uncertainty rather than consensus conviction. Neither team commands the dominance of top-tier franchises, making the outcome genuinely competitive.
Traders should monitor team roster confirmations and any last-minute substitutions announced before the 11:00 ET start, as Rocket League competitive integrity depends heavily on player availability and form. Fixture delays beyond seven days trigger the 50-50 resolution clause, creating tail-risk exposure for positions held through the settlement window. Recent RLCS scheduling has remained reliable, though weather or technical issues at the venue could force postponement. Announcements regarding either team's preparation or scrim results in the days preceding the match may shift the order book materially.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/rocketleague. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Rocket League: Twisted Minds vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - RLCS World Championship Group C" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$4 in lifetime turnover and $3K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $4 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/rocketleague. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 20 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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