Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Overwatch Lower bracket final match between Crazy Raccoon and T1 in the OCS Asia Stage 1 Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 10 at 3:35AM ET. This market will resolve to "Crazy Raccoon" if Crazy Raccoon win the match against T1. This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win the match against Crazy Raccoon. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Crazy Raccoon and T1 are scheduled to contest the Overwatch Champions Series Asia lower bracket final on 10 May 2026 at 03:35 UTC. The match is a best-of-three format, with the winner advancing and the loser eliminated from the tournament. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Crazy Raccoon, indicating traders are pricing the Japanese organisation as the overwhelming favourite. This extreme probability typically emerges when one team holds a decisive advantage in recent form, roster strength, or head-to-head record, though such lopsided pricing leaves minimal margin for contrarian positions.
Historically, Overwatch esports markets at this stage of regional playoffs have shown volatility when roster changes or player availability issues surface in the days preceding matches. T1's performance trajectory through the OCS Asia bracket, their recent map pool adjustments, and any last-minute roster confirmations will be critical catalysts. Traders should monitor official OCS Asia announcements and team social media for injury reports or coaching changes that could shift the competitive balance. The seven-day settlement window provides a buffer against short-term scheduling disruptions, though matches in Asian time zones occasionally face broadcast or technical delays that could trigger the tie-resolution clause.
The 100% pricing suggests the market has already priced in available information about both teams' current capabilities. Any material news regarding T1's preparation, player form, or meta shifts favouring their composition could create trading opportunities before the match commences.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/ow_esports_jp. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Overwatch: Crazy Raccoon vs T1 (BO3) - OCS Asia Stage 1 Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/ow_esports_jp. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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