Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL match between WLGaming Esports and Team Phantasma in the HLL Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 7 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "WLGaming Esports" if WLGaming Esports win the match against Team Phantasma. This market will resolve to "Team Phantasma" if Team Phantasma win the match against WLGaming Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 0% YES | 100% NO |
WLGaming Esports will face Team Phantasma in a best-of-two League of Legends match within the HLL Regular Season, with the fixture scheduled for 7 May at 9:00 AM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 0% implied probability for WLGaming's victory, suggesting the market has priced in either strong favouritism towards Phantasma or significant uncertainty regarding match execution. Settlement occurs at 19:00 UTC on 7 May, providing a ten-hour window after the scheduled start time for the match to conclude.
The 0% pricing is notable given that best-of-two formats in League esports typically produce decisive outcomes, with ties being uncommon. Historical precedent from regional League competitions shows that teams with established track records rarely trade at such extreme valuations unless facing opponents with substantially superior recent form or roster advantages. The HLL's competitive landscape and relative strength of these rosters would normally support more balanced pricing unless one team has recently undergone significant roster changes or performance deterioration.
Traders should monitor official HLL schedule confirmations and any team announcements regarding player availability or roster adjustments in the days preceding 7 May. Fixture delays beyond the seven-day threshold would trigger a 50-50 resolution, creating potential value if match postponement becomes likely. Technical issues or match abandonment mid-series also carry resolution implications distinct from a clean series result, making venue and broadcast reliability worth tracking through official esports channels.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/helleniclegends. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "LoL: WLGaming Esports vs Team Phantasma (BO2) - HLL Regular Season" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$2K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/helleniclegends. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 7 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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