Trade: LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket final match between Top Esports and Team WE in the LPL Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 7 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win the match against Team WE. This market will resolve to "Team WE" if Team WE win the match against Top Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $195K
- Total Volume
- $83K
- 24h Volume
- $8K
- Open Interest
- $76K
Market outcomes
| First Blood in Game 3? | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4? | 52% YES | 49% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3? | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 31.5 in Game 2? | 53% YES | 48% NO |
| Match Winner | 68% YES | 33% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 63% YES | 37% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 61% YES | 39% NO |
| Game 3 Winner | 60% YES | 41% NO |
Market context
Top Esports and Team WE are set to contest the League of Legends Pro League upper bracket final on 7 June 2026, with the match scheduled for 05:00 ET. The best-of-five format means the first team to secure three map victories advances to the finals. Currently, Polymarket's order book reflects a 50-50 split probability, indicating traders view both squads as evenly matched heading into this fixture.
Historical context suggests LPL upper bracket finals typically favour teams with stronger regular-season records and recent momentum. Top Esports and Team WE have traded dominance across recent LPL seasons, with both organisations capable of fielding championship-calibre rosters. When comparable regional powerhouses have met at this stage, the outcome has often hinged on mid-game macro execution and jungler-mid lane synergy rather than individual mechanical skill gaps. The even probability reflects genuine uncertainty rather than a lack of information asymmetry.
Traders should monitor roster confirmations and scrim results in the week preceding the match, though such data rarely surfaces publicly. Schedule adherence matters considerably given the settlement window closes 7 June at 15:00 UTC; any delay extending beyond 7 days from the scheduled date triggers a 50-50 resolution. Team announcements regarding player health or substitutions could shift the order book meaningfully. LPL broadcast schedules occasionally shift due to production constraints, so confirmation of the exact 05:00 ET start time closer to the event date warrants attention.
Wikipedia Context
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Lol TolhurstLaurence Andrew Tolhurst is an English musician, songwriter, producer, and author. He was a founder member of the Cure, for which he first played drums before switching to keyboards. He left the Cure in 1989, and later formed the bands Presence and Levinhurst. He has also published two books and developed the Curious Creatures podcast. His most recent studio
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Tove LoEbba Tove Elsa Nilsson, known professionally as Tove Lo, is a Swedish singer-songwriter. She is known for her raw, grunge-influenced take on pop music. Referring to her autobiographical lyrics, Out called Lo "the saddest girl in Sweden", while Rolling Stone called her "Sweden's darkest pop export".
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LollipopA lollipop is a type of sugar candy usually consisting of hard candy mounted on a stick and intended for sucking or licking. Different informal terms are used in different places, including lolly and sucker. Lollipops are available in many flavors and shapes.
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Lol CoxhillGeorge Lowen Coxhill known professionally as Lol Coxhill, was an English free improvising saxophonist. He played soprano and sopranino saxophone.
Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.huya.com/lpl. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$83K in lifetime turnover and $195K of resting liquidity puts this market in the above the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $8K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from https://www.huya.com/lpl. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 7 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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