Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL match between Maryville University and Winthrop University in the North American Challengers League Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 8 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Maryville University" if Maryville University win the match against Winthrop University. This market will resolve to "Winthrop University" if Winthrop University win the match against Maryville University. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Game Handicap: MVU (-1.5) vs Winthrop University (+1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game Handicap: WU (-1.5) vs Maryville University (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Maryville University's League of Legends team faces Winthrop University in a best-of-three matchup within the North American Challengers League regular season, scheduled for 8 May at 4:00PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Maryville, indicating traders are pricing this as a near-certain outcome. This extreme skew typically emerges when one team holds a substantial competitive advantage or when information asymmetries favour one side heavily in collegiate esports contexts.
University-level League competition in North America operates within tighter talent pools than professional circuits, making historical performance differentials more pronounced. Teams that establish early-season dominance in the Challengers League often maintain momentum through regular season play, particularly when facing less established programmes. The 100% pricing suggests Maryville's roster composition, recent match results, or head-to-head record against Winthrop has created consensus amongst traders that alternative outcomes carry negligible probability.
Key variables affecting settlement include fixture confirmation and any last-minute roster changes, which occur occasionally in collegiate esports due to player availability or eligibility issues. The settlement window extends to 9 May at 02:20 UTC, providing a 22-hour buffer beyond the scheduled start time. Traders should monitor official Challengers League communications for any postponements or cancellations, as the market resolves to 50 if the match remains unplayed beyond seven days from the original date. Current liquidity on the order book will determine execution feasibility for positions at the extreme probability level.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/NACL. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "LoL: Maryville University vs Winthrop University (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular S" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$50K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the above the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/NACL. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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