Esports

Trade: LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs

Opened · Settles

Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket round 1 match between KT Rolster and HANJIN BRION in the Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 18 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "KT Rolster" if KT Rolster win the match against HANJIN BRION. This market will resolve to "HANJIN BRION" if HANJIN BRION win the match against KT Rolster. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.

Liquidity
$38K
Total Volume
$3K
24h Volume
$508
Open Interest
$3K
Trade this market on PolyGram →

Market outcomes

Match Winner 69% YES32% NO
Game 1 Winner 64% YES37% NO
Game 2 Winner 64% YES37% NO
O/U 2.5 Games 44% YES56% NO
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5) 41% YES60% NO
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 50% YES51% NO
Both Teams Slay a Dragon 50% YES51% NO
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors 50% YES51% NO

Market context

KT Rolster and HANJIN BRION will contest a League of Legends lower bracket first-round match in the Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs on 18 May at 04:00 ET. The best-of-three fixture determines progression in Korea's regional qualifying pathway for the international tournament. The 69% implied probability on Polymarket's order book currently reflects KT Rolster as the favoured side, with the spread suggesting roughly 2-to-1 odds in their favour.

KT Rolster's historical standing in Korean League competition provides context for the current pricing. The organisation has maintained consistent playoff presence across multiple seasons and typically fields experienced rosters capable of executing macro play under pressure. HANJIN BRION, by contrast, has competed less frequently at the highest tier of Korean competition, making direct head-to-head records limited. When comparable lower-bracket matchups feature an established franchise against a less-proven challenger, the market typically prices the established side at 65–75% probability, placing today's 69% within normal range for such pairings.

Traders should monitor roster confirmations and any schedule adjustments announced by the Esports World Cup organisers in the days preceding the match. Injury reports or last-minute substitutions could shift the probability materially, particularly if either team's mid or jungle player becomes unavailable. The settlement window closes at 14:00 UTC on 18 May, allowing seven days for match completion; any delay beyond 25 May without resolution triggers the 50-50 tie clause. Current liquidity on the order book will likely tighten as match time approaches.

Wikipedia Context

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  • Lolicon
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    In Japanese popular culture, lolicon is a genre of fictional media which focuses on young or young-looking girl characters, particularly in a sexually suggestive, fetishistic or erotic context. The term, a portmanteau of the English-language phrase "Lolita complex", also refers to desire and affection for such characters, and their fans. Associated mainly w

  • Lolcat
    Lolcat

    A lolcat, or LOLcat, is an image macro of one or more cats. Lolcat images' idiosyncratic and intentionally grammatically incorrect text is known as lolspeak.

  • Lolita (1962 film)
    Lolita (1962 film)

    Lolita is a 1962 black comedy-psychological drama film directed by Stanley Kubrick, based on the 1955 novel by Vladimir Nabokov. The black-and-white film follows a middle-aged literature professor who develops an infatuation with an adolescent. It stars James Mason as Humbert Humbert, Shelley Winters as Mrs. Haze, Peter Sellers as Quilty, and Sue Lyon as Dol

Resolution source

This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/EWC_STCArena_EN. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.

How to trade this market step by step

The mechanics for trading "LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.

  1. Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
  2. Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
  3. Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
  4. Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
  5. Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
  6. Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.

How active is this market?

$3K in lifetime turnover and $38K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is strong — order books support five-figure trades with single-cent slippage.

Last 24 hours alone saw $508 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.

The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.

Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.

Key terms

YES / NO share
A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
CLOB
Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
Liquidity
USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
UMA optimistic oracle
The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
Slippage
The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
Conditional token
ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.

See the full prediction-market glossary →

Frequently asked questions

How does this market resolve?

Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/EWC_STCArena_EN. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.

When does this market close?

This prediction market is scheduled to close on 18 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.

How can I trade on "LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs"?

To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.

What happens when the market resolves?

When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.

Risk and regulatory note

Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.

Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.

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