Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL match between Hanwha Life Esports Challengers and Nongshim Esports Academy in the LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2, initially scheduled for May 15 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Hanwha Life Esports Challengers" if Hanwha Life Esports Challengers win the match against Nongshim Esports Academy. This market will resolve to "Nongshim Esports Academy" if Nongshim Esports Academy win the match against Hanwha Life Esports Challengers. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 30% YES | 71% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 33% YES | 67% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 33% YES | 67% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 51% YES | 49% NO |
| Game Handicap: NS.EA (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (+1.5) | 26% YES | 74% NO |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Hanwha Life Esports Challengers face Nongshim Esports Academy in a best-of-three League of Legends match within South Korea's LCK Challengers League, scheduled for 15 May 2026 at 01:00 ET. The current order book on Polymarket prices Hanwha at 30% implied probability, suggesting the market favours Nongshim as the expected winner. This represents a significant underdog positioning for Hanwha, whose YES contracts are trading at roughly 0.30.
LCK Challengers League matches between academy-tier rosters typically reflect the developmental trajectories and infrastructure of their parent organisations. Hanwha Life Esports' main roster has experienced roster instability in recent seasons, which often correlates with weaker academy recruitment and coaching depth. Nongshim's academy programme, by contrast, has historically produced competitive lineups that advance through challenger brackets. Historical precedent suggests academy teams backed by stable organisations with consistent scouting win approximately 65–70% of matchups against less-resourced counterparts, broadly aligning with current market pricing.
Traders should monitor roster announcements through early May, particularly any last-minute substitutions or player injuries that could shift team composition. The LCK Challengers schedule occasionally experiences delays due to broadcast coordination with the main league; any postponement beyond the 7-day grace period would trigger a no-contest resolution. Patch changes to League of Legends between now and the match date may also influence team preparation timelines, though both squads typically adapt similarly to meta shifts.
Lolianwala is a village of Mandi Bahauddin District in the Punjab province of Pakistan. It is located at 32°40'0N 73°34'0E at an altitude of 224 meters. Its name has been changed as "Kot Noor Shah" with reference of shrine of Syed Noor Hussain Shah.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://gol.gg/esports/home. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Roun" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $7K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://gol.gg/esports/home. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 15 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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