Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL match between Forsaken and DOCISK in the Rift Legends Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 21 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Forsaken" if Forsaken win the match against DOCISK. This market will resolve to "DOCISK" if DOCISK win the match against Forsaken. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 73% YES | 27% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Game Handicap: FSK (-1.5) vs DOCISK (+1.5) | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% YES | 51% NO |
Forsaken and DOCISK are scheduled to contest a best-of-three League of Legends match within the Rift Legends Regular Season on 21 May at 16:00 UTC. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 73% implied probability favouring Forsaken, suggesting the market perceives a substantial skill or form differential between the two rosters. Settlement occurs at 21:00 UTC on match day, allowing roughly five hours post-completion for resolution confirmation.
Regional League of Legends regular seasons have historically demonstrated volatile probability shifts when roster changes or recent performance data emerge in the weeks preceding fixtures. Teams entering regular season play with new player acquisitions or coaching staff frequently see market expectations recalibrate sharply once scrim results or preliminary matches surface. The 27-point spread currently priced into Forsaken's favour suggests either established dominance in prior Rift Legends fixtures or documented roster advantages that the market has already incorporated.
Traders should monitor official Rift Legends scheduling announcements for any postponements, which would trigger the seven-day delay clause and force 50-50 resolution. Team announcements regarding player availability, particularly mid-lane or jungler positions where meta-dependent performance fluctuates significantly, could shift the order book materially. Broadcast confirmations and final roster locks typically occur 24–48 hours before match time; any last-minute substitutions would likely move the probability away from the current 73% mark.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/nervarien. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "LoL: Forsaken vs DOCISK (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Season" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $1K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/nervarien. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 21 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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