Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL match between Kiwoom DRX and Gen.G in the LCK Rounds 1-2, initially scheduled for May 8 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Kiwoom DRX" if Kiwoom DRX win the match against Gen.G. This market will resolve to "Gen.G" if Gen.G win the match against Kiwoom DRX. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| First Blood in Game 2? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| First Blood in Game 1? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Kiwoom DRX and Gen.G are scheduled to face off in a League of Legends Champions Korea (LCK) best-of-three match on 8 May 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. The current order book on Polymarket shows zero volume at any price level, with the crowd-implied probability sitting at 0% YES, indicating either minimal trading activity or a technical display issue. This pricing structure suggests either extreme confidence in one outcome or insufficient liquidity to establish meaningful market depth at present.
Historically, Gen.G has maintained a stronger competitive record in LCK regular season play, though DRX has demonstrated capacity to compete in high-stakes formats. The 0% probability reading is unusual for a match between two established organisations and likely reflects the early stage of market formation rather than genuine certainty. Comparable LCK fixtures typically see meaningful two-way trading once the settlement window approaches and team rosters are finalised.
Traders should monitor LCK official announcements regarding roster confirmations, player availability, and any scheduling changes. Recent LCK seasons have seen occasional fixture adjustments due to player illness or organisational circumstances. The settlement window closes at 16:30 UTC on 8 May, providing a narrow window between match completion and resolution. Any delays exceeding seven days without a determined winner would trigger 50-50 resolution per the market terms, creating tail-risk considerations for position holders.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/lck. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$1.3M in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 2% by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $1.2M in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/lck. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 8 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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