Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL match between DN SOOPers Challengers and Hanwha Life Esports Challengers in the LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2, initially scheduled for May 21 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "DN SOOPers Challengers" if DN SOOPers Challengers win the match against Hanwha Life Esports Challengers. This market will resolve to "Hanwha Life Esports Challengers" if Hanwha Life Esports Challengers win the match against DN SOOPers Challengers. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Game Handicap: DNS.C (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (+1.5) | 44% YES | 56% NO |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 3% YES | 97% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% YES | 51% NO |
DN SOOPers Challengers face Hanwha Life Esports Challengers in a best-of-three League of Legends match within South Korea's LCK Challengers League, scheduled for 21 May at 1:00 AM ET. The LCK Challengers League serves as the secondary competitive tier beneath the main LCK, featuring organisations developing talent for promotion or testing roster configurations. Both teams compete in Rounds 1–2 of the league's current season, where early-stage results often carry high variance given limited historical data on team synergy and meta adaptation.
The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 47% implied probability for DN SOOPers Challengers, suggesting near-parity between the two sides. Historical precedent in Challengers League matchups shows that teams with established infrastructure—such as Hanwha Life, backed by a major LCK organisation—typically hold marginal advantages in consistency and resource access. However, Challengers League volatility remains pronounced; upsets occur frequently when rosters are newly formed or when teams field experimental line-ups ahead of potential LCK promotion tournaments.
Traders should monitor official LCK Challengers League announcements for roster confirmations, player substitutions, or scheduling changes prior to the 21 May fixture. Recent patch notes and meta shifts in professional League of Legends can significantly alter team preparation timelines. Any withdrawal or illness affecting key players would materially shift match dynamics. The seven-day settlement window provides a buffer for delayed matches, though the LCK typically maintains strict scheduling discipline.
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This market settles from the official outcome published at https://play-origin.sooplive.com/afchall. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $3K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://play-origin.sooplive.com/afchall. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 21 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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