Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket final match between Colossal Gaming and GMBLERS ESPORTS in the LIT Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 15 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Colossal Gaming" if Colossal Gaming win the match against GMBLERS ESPORTS. This market will resolve to "GMBLERS ESPORTS" if GMBLERS ESPORTS win the match against Colossal Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Game Handicap: CG (-1.5) vs GMBLERS ESPORTS (+1.5) | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Game Handicap: CG (-2.5) vs GMBLERS ESPORTS (+2.5) | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 27% YES | 74% NO |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 66% YES | 35% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 26% YES | 75% NO |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 27% YES | 74% NO |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 3% YES | 97% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Colossal Gaming and GMBLERS ESPORTS will contest the League of Legends lower bracket final at the LIT Playoffs on 15 May, with the winner advancing to the grand final. The match is scheduled for 12:00 PM ET and will be played as a best-of-five series. Current order book activity on Polymarket reflects a 50-50 split between the two teams, suggesting traders perceive near-parity in winning chances despite any underlying roster or recent performance differences.
The even probability mirrors typical lower bracket dynamics in regional esports tournaments, where teams reaching this stage have already demonstrated competitive viability. Historical LIT Playoffs data would show whether Colossal Gaming or GMBLERS ESPORTS has stronger track records in elimination matches, though roster changes between seasons can substantially alter matchup outcomes. Teams that advance through lower brackets often carry momentum advantages or face fatigue depending on bracket positioning and prior match intensity.
Traders should monitor official LIT Playoffs announcements regarding any roster changes, player substitutions, or schedule adjustments prior to the 15 May fixture. Recent team performance in qualifying rounds and head-to-head records in 2026 will inform whether the current 50-50 pricing reflects genuine uncertainty or mispricing relative to underlying team strength. The settlement window closes at 22:00 UTC on 15 May, allowing for match completion and result confirmation; any cancellation, tie, or delay beyond seven days triggers a 50-50 resolution.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/LITofficial. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "LoL: Colossal Gaming vs GMBLERS ESPORTS (BO5) - LIT Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$5 in lifetime turnover and $9K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
Last 24 hours alone saw $5 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/LITofficial. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 15 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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