Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Honor of Kings Round 2 match between Douyu Gaming and JD Gaming in the Honor of Kings Challenger Cup Stage 1, initially scheduled for May 3 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Douyu Gaming" if Douyu Gaming win the match against JD Gaming. This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win the match against Douyu Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 3 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 4 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game 5 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 6 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 4.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Douyu Gaming and JD Gaming are scheduled to contest a best-of-seven match in the Honor of Kings Challenger Cup Stage 1 on 3 May 2026 at 07:00 ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 0% implied probability for Douyu Gaming victory, suggesting the market has priced in either overwhelming confidence in JD Gaming or substantial uncertainty about match completion. Honor of Kings esports tournaments in China have historically maintained reliable scheduling, though regional lockdowns and broadcasting restrictions have occasionally forced postponements. The 50-50 tie resolution clause creates asymmetric risk: if the match is delayed beyond seven days without resolution, traders holding either side lose directional exposure entirely.
Recent Honor of Kings Challenger Cup fixtures have typically proceeded as scheduled, with JD Gaming establishing themselves as a stronger franchise in competitive play over the past two seasons. Traders should monitor official TencentSports and Douyu platform announcements for any roster changes, player illness, or technical infrastructure issues that might affect the 3 May fixture. The settlement window closes at 17:00 UTC on 3 May, providing a narrow window for match completion; any delays extending into 10 May or beyond would trigger the tie resolution. Current market pricing suggests minimal backing for Douyu, though the extreme probability warrants scrutiny of whether this reflects genuine competitive disadvantage or liquidity constraints on the order book itself.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-papIYxvXzM. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Honor of Kings: Douyu Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO7) - Honor of Kings Challenger Cup Stage 1" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$967 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-papIYxvXzM. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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