Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket final match between Voca and Zomblers in the ESL Challenger League North America Cup #4 Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 2 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Voca" if Voca win the match against Zomblers. This market will resolve to "Zomblers" if Zomblers win the match against Voca. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map Handicap: VOCA (-1.5) vs Zomblers (+1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% YES | 0% NO |
The ESL Challenger League North America Cup #4 Playoffs lower bracket final pits Voca against Zomblers in a best-of-three Counter-Strike match scheduled for 2 May at 9:00PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for "YES" (Voca victory), indicating traders are pricing in an extremely lopsided matchup or have limited liquidity depth at present. This probability formation suggests either substantial confidence in Voca's superiority or minimal market participation at the current price levels.
Lower bracket finals in regional Counter-Strike tournaments typically feature teams with uneven competitive trajectories. Voca's path to this stage and recent form against comparable North American opposition would normally establish a baseline expectation; however, the 100% probability leaves no margin for Zomblers' upset potential or match volatility. Historical precedent in Challenger League events shows that even favoured teams face execution risk in best-of-three formats, where map selection and in-game momentum shifts can produce unexpected results.
Traders should monitor ESL's official schedule confirmation closer to the match date, as delays or cancellations are material to settlement. The resolution window extends to 7 May, providing a week for completion before the 50-50 tie clause activates. Any roster changes, player availability issues, or technical problems announced by ESL in the 48 hours before the match would represent meaningful catalysts for repricing. Current liquidity constraints appear to be anchoring the probability at extremes rather than reflecting granular competitive assessment.
The Counter-Strike coaching bug scandal was a bug abuse scandal in the game Counter-Strike: Global Offensive. The bug had multiple variants, all of which allowed team coaches to see parts of the map they normally would not have access to and gather information about the enemy team.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://kick.com/eslcs. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Voca vs Zomblers (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #4 Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$28K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the around the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://kick.com/eslcs. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: